Hope everyone enjoyed the Easter holiday if you celebrate. If not, let’s celebrate with some picks!
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Under 9.5 (-114)
- The Red Sox are second-worst in the majors averaging 1.67 runs per game
- The Red Sox are merely averaging five hits per game, third-worst in MLB.
- The Red Sox on-base percentage is .214, second-worst rate in MLB.
- All of these stats were against Baltimore, one of the worst pitching rotations heading into the season.
- TB starter Michael Wacha has allowed just one earned run in 15 innings this spring.
Tampa Bay should compile some runs on the board, but Boston’s inept offense sees this game go under the total.
Houston Astros ML (+100)
I’ll be more than happy to take the Astros at even money against Angels starter Jose Quintana. The Astros have been scorching hot to open the 2021 season.
- The Astros run differential through 4 games is PLUS 26!!
- The Astros average 11.75 hits per game and two home runs.
- The Astros have a staff ERA of 2.00
- The Angels will be missing Shohei Ohtani from their starting lineup.
Jacob deGrom Over 8.5 K’s (-125 DK)
- In nine innings pitched against the Phillies in 2020, deGrom had 13 strikeouts.
- To begin the 2021 season the Phillies are striking out 12 times per game and 31.9% of the time, second and third worst respectively.
- deGrom struck out 104 batters in 68 innings pitched in 2020.
Do not overthink this one. deGrom strikeout props will only go up as the season goes on. Take advantage while you could.
Boston Bruins Regulation win (-110)
Boston ML is in play as well, but let’s get better value with the regulation win, shall we?
- Boston has defeated Philadelphia FIVE times this season, four of which were in regulation.
- Philadelphia has lost seven of their last ten.
- Of those seven losses, five of those were in regulation.
- Phi starter Carter Hart has a 3.93 GAA and .866% on the road.
- Hart is 0-2-2 against Boston with a 5.32 GAA and a .832%
- Boston has scored 13 goals in their last 3 games.
- Boston starter Dan Vlader has a 2.01 GAA and .929% in three starts.
Edmonton @ Montreal Under 6.5 (-120)
- All four games in this series this season have gone under the total.
- Montreal G Carey Price has given up one goal in two games vs. Edm with a .981%
- Edm G Mike Smith shut out Montreal in his only start versus Montreal.
- Edmonton unders have hit in four of the L5 games
- Montreal unders have hit in 3 of the L5 games.
Good luck all!